amten
Follow

Stories of the day: how Amten decides what is worth telling

Zero is allowed.

By Amten Research · · Product guide

The short answer

A scan runs all day: pre-market, every 20 minutes in session, after the close, in the evening and on Saturday. A candidate becomes a Story of the day only if it passes a materiality test: a surprise of at least two standard deviations against its own history, two independent signal families that agree or clearly disagree, a consequence for what the price needs or a widely held name, novelty (the same subject and mechanism within 5 days updates the existing story instead), and newsworthiness. There are 0 to 10 a day. Company stories for the ~300 most-followed US listings are also refreshed nightly.

The scan runs all day

Times are US Eastern, on business days, plus a Saturday pass. Between scans, event triggers start an immediate scan of one subject: a filing on a heavily followed name, an implied move or skew past its 95th percentile, a sector's breadth moving 15 points in a session, a scheduled macro release, or three or more news stories in an hour.

WindowWhenLooks for
Pre-market07:00, 08:00, 08:45Overnight filings and news, 08:30 macro releases, pre-market movers
In sessionEvery 20 minutes, 09:30–16:00Rotation turns, breadth divergences, skew and implied-move outliers, news bursts
Post-close16:20, 17:30Earnings releases, the day's full price picture, the options close
Evening20:00, 22:30The day's filings: 8-K, 13D, Form 4 clusters, S-1
WeekendSaturday 10:0013F windows, theme changes, the week's rotation
Today: the Stories of the day sit under the ask box. (screenshot, illustrative figures)
Today: the Stories of the day sit under the ask box. Illustrative figures from the Amten preview, not live market data.

The materiality test

Most candidates fail. Four tests are scored in code; the fifth is a single judgment on the assembled evidence.

TestPasses when
SurpriseThe signal is at least 2 standard deviations from its own history, or in an extreme bucket
CorroborationTwo independent families agree (price and options, flows and filings, alternative data and price), or clearly disagree
ConsequenceIt moves what the price needs, a sector's leadership or a widely held name
NoveltyNo story with the same subject and mechanism in the last 5 days; otherwise that story gets a new version
NewsworthinessA curious investor would want it explained today

0 to 10 a day, and quiet days are allowed

There is no quota. A busy day can produce 10; a quiet one can produce none, and Today says so: "no story has passed the materiality test. Zero is allowed; Amten scans again through the day."

A story's place can rise during the day as evidence accumulates. One that weakens is demoted, never deleted; its versions stay. Each Story of the day is built with its full route and 3 pre-built branches for its top suggested asks, so the most likely next questions open at once.

Today on a phone. (screenshot, illustrative figures)
Today on a phone. Illustrative figures from the Amten preview, not live market data.

Eight kinds of story

Every story is about a subject, and subjects combine, such as a company inside a macro scenario.

KindSubjectTypically opens on
CompanyA US-listed companyWhat the price needs, the crowd, the hidden cast, one future
Market / macroThe US marketThe regime (rates, growth, inflation, risk appetite) and what the market is bracing for
Sector rotationOne sector or the whole mapRelative strength and momentum quadrants, with trails
CrowdA company or a sectorWhat price action, options and owners say, separately and together
FundAn ETF such as XLEWhat the holdings add up to and what changed in them
ThemeA themeWhere institutional money is moving, and which companies sit in it
QuestionYour wordsThe question's mechanism and what reaches whom
What-ifA shock and a scopeThe shock, its path, who it reaches, whose story breaks
Sector, fund and company stories side by side. (screenshot, illustrative figures)
Sector, fund and company stories side by side. Illustrative figures from the Amten preview, not live market data.

The nightly refresh

Apart from the Stories of the day, company stories for the ~300 most-followed or most-viewed US listings are refreshed every night, so the common reads open instantly and carry yesterday's close. If a refresh changes something material, followers get a new version with its diff.

Common questions

Why are there days with no stories?

Because the materiality test has no quota. A day where nothing is at least two standard deviations from its history, corroborated and consequential produces nothing, by design.

Can the same company be a story twice in a week?

Not for the same mechanism within 5 days: that updates the existing story as a new version. A different mechanism can start a new story.

Who chooses the ranking?

Code scores surprise, corroboration and consequence; one judgment scores newsworthiness. No writing model chooses what makes the list.

What does a Story of the day cost to read?

3 credits for most, never more than 25, once per version.